Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.017741 0.022378 0.028549 0.037656 0.051313 0.072082 0.108488
2025-01-05 0.011943 0.016506 0.023481 0.035748 0.058966 0.107259 0.242407
2025-01-12 0.009339 0.013630 0.020778 0.034911 0.066674 0.152960 0.555032
2025-01-19 0.008141 0.012457 0.020216 0.037351 0.083302 0.254641 2.108283
2025-01-26 0.007453 0.011903 0.020494 0.041647 0.110263 0.494574 35.283407
2025-02-02 0.006904 0.011439 0.020758 0.046132 0.145990 1.084211 NaN
2025-02-09 0.006191 0.010497 0.019703 0.046509 0.167811 2.001090 NaN
2025-02-16 0.005625 0.009732 0.018829 0.047000 0.193247 4.232994 NaN
2025-02-23 0.005136 0.009035 0.017936 0.046999 0.218237 10.334221 NaN
2025-03-02 0.004607 0.008175 0.016445 0.044219 0.219753 18.534942 NaN
2025-03-09 0.004221 0.007567 0.015472 0.042959 0.233117 55.786733 NaN
2025-03-16 0.003981 0.007245 0.015170 0.044198 0.275784 4974.739499 NaN
2025-03-23 0.003685 0.006806 0.014590 0.044636 0.324471 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 0.003336 0.006206 0.013462 0.042227 0.333550 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 0.003074 0.005771 0.012708 0.041174 0.363980 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.002949 0.005638 0.012788 0.044248 0.502085 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002880 0.005623 0.013222 0.049704 0.811342 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002808 0.005591 0.013599 0.055458 1.389247 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002656 0.005336 0.013187 0.055943 1.784494 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002521 0.005110 0.012824 0.056578 2.359275 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002391 0.004882 0.012408 0.056577 3.036403 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002230 0.004555 0.011590 0.052996 2.909398 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002107 0.004318 0.011055 0.051381 3.235774 NaN NaN